History's End

History will end only when Man does

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  • Sunday, July 16, 2006

    The First Israeli-Iranian War

    I am going to go out on a limb and declaring the current Middle-East conflict the first Israeli-Iranian War. The recent denunciations by the Saudis against Hizb'allah, along with the essentially zero support from Arab states indicates that this is not an Arab-Israeli War. Syria's leadership isn't Arab, its Allawite. At the moment the war is in its first stages, namely that of a proxy-war between Israel and Iran's proxy Hizb'allah. How long it stays a proxy war remains to be seen. However, the Iranian declarations to intervene if Syria is attacked represent a solid line in the sand that Israel knows it can cross and perhaps bring things to a head.

    Update: Here is Thomas Barnett's take on all of this. His view that this is an Iranian Pre-emptive attack is what led me to call this an Israeli-Iranian war.

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