History's End

History will end only when Man does

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  • Tuesday, July 18, 2006

    Debka's Take

    I have long since canned my "Debka-Watch" blog, but Debka does have at times things worth writing about. Their latest"essay" on the current crisis is on such thing. Here is the link to the full article. The most important part of the essay is at the end:
    Israeli generals and officials asked about the objectives of this war are cagey; they can’t tell what will eventuate in the next 24 hours – and not only because of the uncertain fortunes of war. The tricky test is to correlate Israeli and American interests from one day to the next. Hizballah keeps on threatening “new surprises,” because its leaders are also playing their tactics by ear, dependent on the support and weapons Tehran judges it politic to release.

    If this is in any way accurate, both "sides," US-Israel and Syria/Iran are both playing this event by ear. Which means that there is no real "political strategy" in play here by both sides. Millitary strategy must be, by nature, flexible. After all, no plan survives contact with the enemy. However, when political strategy is flexible it can easily result in mission drift, and take you into places where you never intended to go in the first place. Wretchard's latest piece talks about the "Dark Crossroads" which lie before us. If Debka is right, and both sides are playing this by ear, then not only are they dark crossroads that lie ahead, but we are walking, running, sprinting towards them blindfolded.

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