History's End

History will end only when Man does

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  • Thursday, August 05, 2004

    A Post RNC Prediction

    I predict that President Bush will get no significant post-convention boost, just as Kerry has. Unlike the previous election, there are relatively few undecided voters at the moment. Thus, the odds of a significant swing in part of the population are relatively low. This could be altered, however, if Cheney were to not run in '04 and someone else ran as VP on the GOP ticket. I suspect then there might be a slight boost. Still, I don't think that it will matter as much. The election is still impossible to predict, because Kerry hasn't had the full treatment yet from the GOP. How he weathers the punches will help determine if he can pull off the victory in November.

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