Last Rites
I wish I could have resumed blogging on a happier note.
Update: Some info on Last Rites, and annointing in general, can be found here.
History will end only when Man does
I suspect – based on absolutely nothing – that any attempt to crack down on Lebanon would earn Damascus a few products from the Raytheon assembly lines.From todays Bleat.
Syrian Kurds poised for massive demonstrations backed by US and Iraqi Kurds to mark first anniversary of their Kamishli uprising. More Syrian opposition factions expected to join protest.Hopefully this pans as out, as we need to keep as much pressure on Syria as possible.
Phase 3 is now the breakout phase, where the tentacles of freedom start spreading throughout the region. Because the fight, at the moment only ideological, is outside of Iraq, the fighting will soon migrate out of Iraq as well. Much of the fighting inside Iraq was sponsored and supported in Iran and Syria, now they will be slowly forced onto the defensive. Iraq was in itself an offensive operation, but tactically the US operated defensively after the fall of Baghdad. That is now changing. Containment has failed, and a wider war is inevitable. The only question now is exactly what that war will look like. Will Syria and Iran follow "Hama Rules?" And will the US retaliate with "Chicago Rules?"To expand on my earlier thoughts: In phase 3 we see the WoT expand beyond Iraq and Afghanistan in a significant way. The blue arrows indicate major efforts directed by the ideological forces that the US has unleashed with its invasion. Remember, this war is as much political and about ideas as it is military and about troops. We have seen a breakout, so far only of ideas and ideals, occurring in places like Lebanon(protests), Kuwait(protests), Egypt(possible multi-party elections) and even Saudi Arabia (municipal elections, held now after 20 years). The enemy had tried to contain the forces we were unleashing in Iraq, but that failed. Now, instead of fighting democracy and people power inside Iraq, they have to fight it in Lebanon, Kuwait, Egypt and Saudi Arabia. No longer fully hemmed in, the US and its allies are starting to get some room to maneuver, and are able to go on the tactical offense again.
I cannot speak to this reports specific points, but note my prior post arguing that Hezbollah has chosen to fight a civil war. This free-Lebanon post asserts Syria intends to fight a small intensity conflict. Guess what thats not news. Assassination, gun-toting extortion, and occasional gunfire are Syrias m.o. in Lebanon. What Damascus intends to do is add more gunfire in the streets. If that fails to intimidate the democrats, a third-party (Hezbollah or other front organization) attack on the Lebanese Army is an option. The Lebanese Army is very weak.I suppose all eyes are on Lebanon now, as the WoT moves into another phase. We are starting to see what I suppose could be called phase 3. Phase 1 was the removal of the Taliban and the pacification of Afghanistan. Phase 2 was the Iraq War, leading up to the election. Phase 3 is now the breakout phase, where the tentacles of freedom start spreading throughout the region. Because the fight, at the moment only ideological, is outside of Iraq, the fighting will soon migrate out of Iraq as well. Much of the fighting inside Iraq was sponsored and supported in Iran and Syria, now they will be slowly forced onto the defensive. Iraq was in itself an offensive operation, but tactically the US operated defensively after the fall of Baghdad. That is now changing. Containment has failed, and a wider war is inevitable. The only question now is exactly what that war will look like. Will Syria and Iran follow "Hama Rules?" And will the US retaliate with "Chicago Rules?"
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Syria is pursuing a bold political strategy to set conditions for a civil war. A civil war sets conditions for a continued Syrian occupation. Freedom is in for a fight. You can bet Tehran is pulling for Damascus.
Malone: You said you wanted to get Capone. Do you really wanna get him? You see what I'm saying is, what are you prepared to do?
Eliot Ness: Anything and everything in my power.
Malone: And THEN what are you prepared to do? If you open the can on these worms you must be prepared to go all the way because they're not gonna give up the fight until one of you is dead.
Eliot Ness: How do you do it then?
Malone: You wanna know how you do it? Here's how, they pull a knife, you pull a gun. He sends one of yours to the hospital, you send on of his to the morgue! That's the Chicago way, and that's how you get Capone! Now do you want to do that? Are you ready to do that?
Eliot Ness: I have sworn to capture this man with all legal powers at my disposal and I will do so.
Malone: Well the Lord hates a coward. Do you know what a blood oath is Mr. Ness?
Eliot Ness: Yes.
Malone: Good, cause you just took one.
She is running, and laying the ground work of this even as we speak. Such views are actually somewhat hurtful on the left, as a general rule, so I assume she is aiming for moderates.ASHINGTON, March 9 - Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton on Wednesday sharply criticized the sex and violence in video games and other entertainment directed at children, calling the prevalence of such images an epidemic.
Mrs. Clinton, a Democrat from New York, also called on industry leaders to create a uniform ratings system that would warn parents about sex and violence in video games, television and other forms of entertainment that children might be exposed to. By contrast, parents now look to a patchwork of ratings systems that differ from one sector of the industry to another.
At a forum held by the Kaiser Family Foundation, Mrs. Clinton cited studies indicating that children who are exposed to graphic images of violence display more aggressive behavior.
CAMP VICTORY, Iraq, (Army News Service, March 8, 2005) -- One small European country is playing a major role in keeping supply convoys safe while moving through Iraq.Go read the rest. Hopefully the people of Estonia decide to stick with us in these dark days. I am impressed by the quality of the Estonian troops, who show that a small, elite force is far more capable than a large force with troops of poor quality. History has demonstrated this time and time again, and its good to see that the Estonian goverment realizes this as well.
Each day, hundreds of trucks travel the streets of Iraq carrying cargo bound for military installations and forward operating posts. One of the ways the Army is minimizing the risk involved in delivering supplies to Soldiers in Iraq is through a joint operation that includes Soldiers from 10th Mountain Division, Fort Drum, N.Y., and a platoon of Estonian infantrymen.
The two units work together keeping each other safe while patrolling Gazalia Village, a 15-kilometer section of road in the heart of Western Baghdad that is known to be a “hot spot” for improvised explosive devices.
There's been a lot of talk since Sept. 11 about how President Bush's war-lovin' ways have galvanized terrorists, recruiting jihadis to the ranks. What's increasingly evident, however, is that the character suffering the real blowback is Osama bin Laden, who, as it turns out, jolted the U.S. into a global recruiting drive for democrats. Faced with an unprecedented attack on American shores, Mr. Bush smashed the mold for Middle-East policy, and with the invasion of Iraq lit a beacon for freedom-lovers in a part of the world that until quite recently was widely seen as having none.
As it turns out, there are many. Already, Mr. Bush has been answered by the breathtaking election turnout in Iraq, the uprising in Lebanon, the tremors in Syria and Iran, the stirrings in Egypt and Saudi Arabia. But the effects hardly stop with the Middle East. In many places, people trapped under tyrannies are now watching. Ballots cast in Baghdad echo way east of Suez.
So it happens that a message reached me last weekend from within one of the world's most repressive states: Vietnam. Word came that the Sharansky of Saigon, democratic dissident Nguyen Dan Que, had been released from his latest stretch in Vietnam's prisons. Though Dr. Que, as he prefers to be called, is now dogged by state security agents around the clock and allowed no phone or computer of his own, he could arrange to be on the receiving end of a phone call.
China now has 46 million government bureaucrats, new statistics revealed yesterday, a number almost as great as the entire population of England.Those worried about China's "unparalleled economic growth" can rest somewhat easier upon reading this. The bureaucracy inherent in any good communist state is in full force, even if communism isn't. I can't wait for the Chinese leaders to try and reduce this number drastically. It will cause no small amount of problems in China along the way, and I must admit that I will fully enjoy watching from the sidelines. Of course, they could choose to ignore it. In which case it will likely slowly strangle their economy over time. Perhaps time is on our side after all?
While the country is used to outdoing the rest of the world for sheer numbers, the explosion in officialdom is alarming its ruling Communist Party.
Its excessive and corrupt bureaucracy was regarded as one of the principal causes of the decline of imperial rule. Yet there are now 35 times as many people on the government payroll, even as a proportion of the population, than at the time of the collapse of the Qing dynasty in 1911. Corruption aside, today's civil servants are also expensive, requiring official cars, holidays masquerading as training sessions and receptions.
DEBKAfile reports exclusively: Nasrallah has booked mass anti-US rallies in Tripoli next Friday, Sidon next week and pro-American Maronite Christian Zakhla March 18.This bodes ill for the future. We could be looking at the Iranian and Syrian counter-revolution in action. Whether they can stop further dominoes from falling remains to be seen, but this could indicate that the latest phase of the WoT will not be as non-violent as some hoped. Both Syria and Iran realize they must nip this in the bud, before it becomes too massive to be stopped. The very survival of the Assad regime and of the Mullahs in Iran is in question. Nothing is too radical or too much to assure their continued existence, at least from their perspective. Both have tried to squash the spread of democracy in Iraq, the spread of people power, before it escaped into the greater Middle East. They failed in that, and I have hope and confidence that they will fail now that the seeds of freedom have been sown far across the region.
But this "Arab Spring", per the expression of the American media, must be encouraged and if needed defended by all those who see respect for human rights as a universal value.The times, they are changing.
Once again, Debka is at best erratic. But this, if true, is chilling. Hopefully the people of Lebanon show more backbone than their leaders and stand up to the Sryians and all of their friends in crime.Following phony “redeployment” in Beqaa Valley, Syria and its proxy Hizballah prepare to lord over one of biggest rallies Beirut has ever seen Tuesday.
Armed terrorist columns will march cheered by tens of thousands of Shiite supporters.
DEBKAfile reports: Lebanese opposition is fading. But Bush and Chirac agreed to keep up pressure on Assad despite loss of people power momentum. Our Gulf sources report opposition leader Walid Jumblatt gone to Gulf emirates, told his Druses followers to keep their heads down.
Same message to Sunni following from Hariri's son and daughter Baha and Bahiya who have run for cover from Syrian death threats. Last pro-active opposition Christian Maronites will be engulfed by sheer pro-Syria masses.
I find this interesting, in that it it mentions April again. Debka has mentioned April before, and I thought it made sense before. Perhaps the Iranians wants their assets up before they think the US will attack. Once again, caution is advised because of the source, but it is certainly worthwhile to keep an eye on the situation.Russian-Iranian military cooperation reaches into space. DEBKAfile’s military sources report Russia will next month launch on Iran’s behalf two satellites. Kosmos-3 will loft Mesbah (Dawn) military surveillance probe and Sinah-1 (Sinai-1) into space.
Iran claims resolution of Mesbah’s instruments high enough to pick up valuable military and strategic data for attacks on Israel. Launching put forward from summer to April at Tehran’s insistence.
Its a long article, but worth reading through, as its thoroughness makes it hard to scoff off as an attempt by someone on the right to "clean up" the right by removing sores, in the form of political movements like Fascism.
The ideas of Benito Mussolini (1883-1945), the founder of Fascism, are remarkably similar to the ideas of modern-day Western Leftists. If Mussolini was not the direct teacher of modern-day Leftists, he was certainly a major predecessor. What Leftists advocate today is not, of course, totally identical with what Mussolini was advocating and doing 60 to 80 years ago in Italy but there are nonetheless extensive and surprising parallels. Early in the 20th century, he prophesied that the 20th century would be the century of Fascism and he got that right in that most of his ideas are still preached by the modern-day Left.
Bush has been speaking more and more forcefully on this, and I think its safe to say that the pressure on Assad is only going to intensify. I suspect that the US has been looking for an opening like this for a while, and is intent to push it for all its worth. As for the bit about no military action planned, I suspect that is true. However, the US may try and control the situation so that the Syrian are forced to either crack down on protestors themselves, and thus open them to US attack, or leave the country. Syria is running out of time and options.US President George W. Bush said he wants all Syrian forces out by May, when Lebanon holds parliamentary elections, stepping up previous calls in which he set no deadline.
"I don't mean just the troops out of Lebanon, I mean all of them out of Lebanon, particularly the secret service out of Lebanon, the intelligence services," he told the New York Post in an interview published Friday.
"This is nonnegotiable. It is time to get out," he said. "I don't think you can have fair elections with Syrian troops there." Bush told the paper there was no threat of military action.
"There's no half-measures allowed," Bush said regarding Syria's suggestion of a partial pullout, speaking in New Jersey Friday.
Remember Fallujah? Three months ago, U.S. Marines waded into the warren of its streets and fought their toughest battle since Vietnam. They captured the former capital of the Islamist terrorists in Iraq. They ended the reign of Abu Musab al Zarqawi there, where he had created a grotesque miniature picture of what all Iraq would become if the U.S. packed up and came home, as war opponents wanted us to do.The rest is worth reading as well. Here we see another blatant example of media bias. The only real coverage there is negative, there is nothing else. While I am not saying that the negative news isn't correct, I find it to be indicative of a critical flaw in the mindset of reporters in Iraq. They are looking for "blood stories", and while Fallujah has some negative aspects to it, there is simply not enough blood anymore. Hence, they focus elsewhere. I suspect that if more word of negative events in Fallujah got out, then media interest would increase. But only then.
Our troops scoured the city, and chased or killed the thug army that had made it its citadel. The fighting devastated Fallujah, which once had been home to 300,000 people. We said we would help them build a new Fallujah, when they returned. This was to be a showplace of the new Iraq, in the heart of the Sunni region, in the Baathist bastion.
Well, how's it going? Are we keeping our promise? Are we doing it well or poorly? What do the people say?
You'll never find out by reading the Associated Press. Or the New York Times. For the print media, Fallujah seems to have fallen off the map as totally as Atlantis.
Like the rest of the "rebuilding" leg of the Iraq story, Fallujah has been neglected by our media. There are exceptions, and I'll get to them in a minute. But when I scrolled back through the wire services we subscribe to -- AP, Knight-Ridder, New York Times, Cox, and half a dozen smaller papers -- for the past month, I found only a handful of stories about Fallujah.
It only became big news when a group of 14-year-old Turkish boys mocked Hatin during a class discussion at a school near the crime scene. One boy said, "She only had herself to blame," while another insisted, "She deserved what she got. The whore lived like a German." The enraged school director not only sent a letter home to parents, but also to teachers across Germany. The letter ignited a media fury. Less known, however, is that the letter also hit a nerve among educators. "Teachers from across the country wrote back saying they had had similar experiences," Boehmecke said. They reported Turkish boys taunting Turkish girls who don't wear headscarves as "German sluts."This is only going to get worse. I stated this in the comments there:
If that doesn't wake up the German people, I frankly don't know what will. When they kill a German woman for it?I was perhaps too quick in that. However, I think that Germany needs to be quick, otherwise it will be too late. If more murders like this occur, then women from Islamic families will become too scared to break away from the Dark Age practices of their families. Hopefully the German people will stand up to this barbarism. Alas, I am not keeping my hopes up.
BAGHDAD (AFP) - Iraq (news - web sites)'s new 275-member national assembly will hold its first session next week with or without an agreement on the lineup of the country's next government, a Shiite official revealed.The reason for this opening?
"The plan is to open the national assembly next week," between March 6 and 10, said Jawad al-Maliky, deputy to the front-running Shiite candidate for prime minister Ibrahim Jaafari.
"We will open the parliament whether or not there is an agreement," said Maliky, who is Jaafari's number two in the fundamentalist Shiite Dawa party and deputy speaker of the current interim parliament.
"We want to reach an understanding before the parliament and when we convene we want to have reached an understanding about the government and the ministries," he added.
A Western official based in Baghdad told AFP that Maliky's announcement of an opening date for parliament was a pressure tactic to force the Kurds to agree to join a governing coalition.It will be interesting to see how this plays out. Both the UIA and the Kurds have presented unreasonable demands, so it may take a while for them to work on a compromise.